Simon Poll Shows Sizeable Lead For Clinton In Illinois

Oct 4, 2016

While it's not unexpected, a new poll from SIU's Paul Simon Public Policy Institute shows Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump in their race for President.

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Clinton leads Trump 53 percent to 28 percent, something Simon Institute Analyst John Jackson says will be difficult to overcome.
 
"There is a very sizeable uphill battle for Trump to win Illinois, and it would be unlikely at this point for him to be able to do so. That being said, downstate is the one exception to the rule, where they're virtually tied and Trump is up by one - which I think is also somewhat surprising."
 
Outside of Cook County and the surrounding "collar counties," Clinton and Trump are essentially tied, 40 percent for Trump versus 39 percent for Clinton.

Jackson says turnout in this election will be key for each candidate, particularly in down-ballot races including the race US Senate and several congressional and state legislative contests.